My first thought was that this had to be a red flag, the way Putin was going on about Ukraine being behind the attack. He's looking for an excuse to ramp up his attacks on Ukraine, and I am afraid he may decide to use a tactical nuke to move things along. All he would need is the "justification", real or imagined. At least that's my first thought on all of this.
But applying the KISS principle here, ISIS-K has claimed responsibility, and there was pretty specific intelligence that indicated this group was up to something like this. It was a warning put out by the US informing Americans not to go to any concerts in Moscow for the time being. I'm sure that we also shared more information about this with the Russian government.
But Putin saw it as America trying to 'destabilize' Russia by spreading fear, and he chose to ignore the warning. Now, he probably wishes that nobody remembers he was warned two weeks ago...
I seem to recall that both Putin and Trump claimed that they destroyed ISIS years ago. So it's not surprising to hear both of them deny that ISIS was involved in this.
I 'think' you are probably right, but I find it odd that any of them were 'captured'... That has not been the norm where ISIS (K) or any other ISIS force was involved. I wonder if they 'sublet' so to speak the attack?
I figure if it was ISIS-K it would have been a suicide operation, for that reason alone. Admittedly, I haven't been tracking the overseas stuff that much in the last year or so.
Excellent professional analysis based on info available so far.
My first thought was that this had to be a red flag, the way Putin was going on about Ukraine being behind the attack. He's looking for an excuse to ramp up his attacks on Ukraine, and I am afraid he may decide to use a tactical nuke to move things along. All he would need is the "justification", real or imagined. At least that's my first thought on all of this.
But applying the KISS principle here, ISIS-K has claimed responsibility, and there was pretty specific intelligence that indicated this group was up to something like this. It was a warning put out by the US informing Americans not to go to any concerts in Moscow for the time being. I'm sure that we also shared more information about this with the Russian government.
But Putin saw it as America trying to 'destabilize' Russia by spreading fear, and he chose to ignore the warning. Now, he probably wishes that nobody remembers he was warned two weeks ago...
I seem to recall that both Putin and Trump claimed that they destroyed ISIS years ago. So it's not surprising to hear both of them deny that ISIS was involved in this.
I 'think' you are probably right, but I find it odd that any of them were 'captured'... That has not been the norm where ISIS (K) or any other ISIS force was involved. I wonder if they 'sublet' so to speak the attack?
I figure if it was ISIS-K it would have been a suicide operation, for that reason alone. Admittedly, I haven't been tracking the overseas stuff that much in the last year or so.